St. Pölten 0-4 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 10 May 2024

St. Pölten
0-4 HT 0-3
Ried
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

St. Pölten vs Ried Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 27% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.18
1/2
8%
21.85
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
8%
8.56
X/2
20%
4.17
X/X
15%
5.57
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.3
2/X
4%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pölten v Ried — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 57%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.31/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.26
-75% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
186 · 58% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
– Crosses 25.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

St. Pölten vs Ried Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ried
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.87 xG 0.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
365 Passes 236
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
27.04.2021 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AVU
24.04.2021 Ried Ried 2-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AVU
14.02.2021 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AVU
31.10.2020 St. Pölten St. Pölten 4-0 HT 2-0 Ried Ried AVU
29.10.2019 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AUK

St. Pölten 0-4 Ried — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pölten
0-4
AWAY Ried
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried ran out comfortable winners over St. Pölten 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, St. Pölten had 39% of the ball to Ried's 61%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pölten had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Pölten and 0.67 for Ried.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs Ried?

St. Pölten 0-4 Ried in the Austria - 1st Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 26%, draw 26%, Ried 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ried) ✗ BTTS Yes
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