Admira Wacker 2-0 Leoben — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
44%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.84
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
10%
5.55
X/2
16%
5.44
X/X
8%
4.35
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
19%
3.74
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+8.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Admira Wacker EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Leoben EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
0.60/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.98
-32% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 73%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
14.0 Crosses 21.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Admira Wacker
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Leoben
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
27.10.2023 Leoben Leoben 3-2 HT 3-1 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
08.05.2009 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 2-0 HT 1-0 Leoben Leoben AU2
28.11.2008 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 0-0 HT 0-0 Leoben Leoben AU2
24.04.2007 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-2 HT 0-0 Leoben Leoben AU2
24.11.2006 Leoben Leoben 1-1 HT 1-1 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker AU2
08.09.2006 Admira Wacker Admira Wacker 1-4 HT 0-2 Leoben Leoben AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Admira Wacker
2-0
AWAY Leoben
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Admira Wacker vs Leoben
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Admira Wacker beat Leoben 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Leoben at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Admira Wacker had 51% of the ball to Leoben's 49%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leoben led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Admira Wacker and 1.67 for Leoben.

What was the final score of Admira Wacker vs Leoben?

Admira Wacker 2-0 Leoben in the Austria - 1st Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Admira Wacker vs Leoben?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leoben win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Admira Wacker 32%, draw 23%, Leoben 44%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leoben) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leoben) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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