FC Liefering 0-1 First Vienna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.37
2-3 Goals
44%
1.99
4-5 Goals
24%
2.68
6+ Goals
10%
6.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.67
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
17%
4.95
X/2
6%
7.2
X/X
13%
6.0
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.15
2/2
21%
4.47
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.15 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Liefering EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY First Vienna EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.74/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.10
+31% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
271 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 70%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
19.8 Crosses 10.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Liefering
2W-2D-2L
AWAY First Vienna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
267 Passes 187
69% Pass Accuracy 62%
23 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
24.02.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
12.08.2022 FC Liefering FC Liefering 1-1 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
29.04.2014 FC Liefering FC Liefering 2-1 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
14.03.2014 First Vienna First Vienna 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Liefering FC Liefering AU2
22.10.2013 FC Liefering FC Liefering 0-2 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
POST-MATCH FC Liefering vs First Vienna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna edged past FC Liefering 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Liefering at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Liefering and 1.17 for First Vienna.

What was the final score of FC Liefering vs First Vienna?

FC Liefering 0-1 First Vienna in the Austria - 1st Division on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Liefering vs First Vienna?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Liefering win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Liefering 42%, draw 25%, First Vienna 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Liefering) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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