Mirassol FC vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mirassol FC v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Mirassol FC vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Mirassol FC
BR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Vila Nova
BR2
Mirassol FC 1-0 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Mirassol FC squeezed past Vila Nova 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Mirassol FC had 59% of the ball to Vila Nova's 41%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 0.62 to 0.05.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vila Nova led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mirassol FC and 1.33 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Vila Nova?
Mirassol FC 1-0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 46%, draw 27%, Vila Nova 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.