Vila Nova vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vila Nova v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Mirassol FC
BR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Vila Nova
BR2
Vila Nova 1-0 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Nova squeezed past Mirassol FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Vila Nova found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Vila Nova had 40% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 60%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.25 to 1.41.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vila Nova had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vila Nova and 0.50 for Mirassol FC.
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Mirassol FC?
Vila Nova 1-0 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Mirassol FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 39%, draw 29%, Mirassol FC 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.