Ceara 0-0 Sport Recife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 21 Jun 2024

📅21/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
20.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 32% vs market 30.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
1.33/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.99
-11% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
26.1 Crosses 17.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sport Recife
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.65 xG 1.15
47% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
232 Passes 332
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Ceara Ceara 2-1 HT 1-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
04.05.2023 Sport Recife Sport Recife 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BRCDN
20.04.2023 Ceara Ceara 2-1 HT 2-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BRCDN
15.02.2023 Ceara Ceara 3-2 HT 2-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BRCDN
16.02.2022 Ceara Ceara 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BRCDN
15.11.2021 Ceara Ceara 2-1 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
0-0
AWAY Sport Recife
1.31 xG 0.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
233 Passes 352
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Sport Recife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara and Sport Recife fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ceara at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Ceara had 42% of the ball to Sport Recife's 58%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.31 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceara had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ceara and 1.00 for Sport Recife.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Sport Recife?

Ceara 0-0 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie B on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Sport Recife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ceara 41%, draw 26%, Sport Recife 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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