USM Khenchela 2-0 Mostaganem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.83
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+14% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Khenchela
2-0
AWAY Mostaganem
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs Mostaganem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela got the better of Mostaganem 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had USM Khenchela as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, USM Khenchela had 51% of the ball to Mostaganem's 49%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs Mostaganem?

USM Khenchela 2-0 Mostaganem in the Algeria - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs Mostaganem?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 48%, draw 26%, Mostaganem 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Khenchela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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