USM Alger 1-0 El Bayadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.28
6+ Goals
9%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
68%
-15.3pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.91/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.31
+10% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +25%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
2W-2D-0L
AWAY El Bayadh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
10.05.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 2-1 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
15.12.2023 El Bayadh El Bayadh 1-1 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
03.03.2023 El Bayadh El Bayadh 0-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
27.08.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 1-0 HT 1-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
1-0
AWAY El Bayadh
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 1
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs El Bayadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger squeezed past El Bayadh 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, USM Alger had 51% of the ball to El Bayadh's 49%, shots finished 14-1.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, USM Alger had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for USM Alger and 0.50 for El Bayadh.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs El Bayadh?

USM Alger 1-0 El Bayadh in the Algeria - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs El Bayadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 53%, draw 26%, El Bayadh 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ BTTS No
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