Marquense 1-1 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.33/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.30
+5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense and Guastatoya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Marquense at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Guastatoya?

Marquense 1-1 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Marquense 47%, draw 27%, Guastatoya 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marquense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marquense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
6 Oct 2024
04:00 Xelaju MC vs Zacapa Tellioz Analysis →