Xelaju MC 4-0 Zacapa Tellioz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.34
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.6
No
64%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-14.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.2pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+8.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.1pp
64%
BTTS No
66%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.82/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.08
-8% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 193 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2024 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 1-1 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
19.11.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 0-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xelaju MC
4-0
AWAY Zacapa Tellioz
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Zacapa Tellioz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC ran out comfortable winners over Zacapa Tellioz 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Xelaju MC had 59% of the ball to Zacapa Tellioz's 41%, shots finished 13-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.50 for Zacapa Tellioz.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Xelaju MC 4-0 Zacapa Tellioz in the Guatemala - National League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Zacapa Tellioz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 56%, draw 26%, Zacapa Tellioz 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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