Zacapa Tellioz 1-1 Xelaju MC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.51
Over 2.5
31%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.19
No
68%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.6pp
32%
BTTS Yes
42%
-9.3pp
68%
BTTS No
58%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 29%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
0.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/0.94
-25% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zacapa Tellioz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Xelaju MC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.11.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-0 HT 0-0 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zacapa Tellioz
1-1
AWAY Xelaju MC
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zacapa Tellioz vs Xelaju MC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zacapa Tellioz and Xelaju MC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Zacapa Tellioz at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

On the day, Zacapa Tellioz had 65% of the ball to Xelaju MC's 35%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Zacapa Tellioz vs Xelaju MC?

Zacapa Tellioz 1-1 Xelaju MC in the Guatemala - National League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zacapa Tellioz vs Xelaju MC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zacapa Tellioz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zacapa Tellioz 44%, draw 27%, Xelaju MC 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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