Achuapa 2-0 Xinabajul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 28 Mar 2024

Achuapa
2-0 HT 1-0
Xinabajul
📅28/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2023/2024

Achuapa vs Xinabajul Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Achuapa v Xinabajul — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.47/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.10
+3% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -38%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5

Achuapa vs Xinabajul Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Xinabajul
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.11.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-2 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
20.04.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-1 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
23.02.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 4-2 HT 1-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
16.10.2022 Achuapa Achuapa 2-2 HT 0-2 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
11.08.2022 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-1 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Xinabajul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa saw off Xinabajul 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Achuapa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Achuapa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Achuapa and 1.40 for Xinabajul.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Xinabajul?

Achuapa 2-0 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Xinabajul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 43%, draw 25%, Xinabajul 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Achuapa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Achuapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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