Lee Man 1-2 Eastern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lee Man EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern EU Bookmakers 37%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.25
-34% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lee Man
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Eastern
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.85 xG 2.11
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
252 Passes 157
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Eastern Eastern 1-1 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
28.10.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
18.03.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
19.11.2022 Eastern Eastern 0-1 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
24.06.2022 Lee Man Lee Man 1-3 HT 1-2 Eastern Eastern AFCC
25.12.2021 Lee Man Lee Man 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastern Eastern HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lee Man
1-2
AWAY Eastern
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lee Man vs Eastern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern nicked a narrow win over Lee Man 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lee Man at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lee Man had 44% of the ball to Eastern's 56%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastern led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lee Man and 1.17 for Eastern.

What was the final score of Lee Man vs Eastern?

Lee Man 1-2 Eastern in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lee Man vs Eastern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lee Man 45%, draw 24%, Eastern 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lee Man), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lee Man) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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6 Oct 2024
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