AZ (K) 1-2 Ajax (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 6 Oct 2024

AZ (K)
1-2 HT 1-2
Ajax (K)
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2024/2025

AZ (K) vs Ajax (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
62%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.89
Over 2.5
53%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+9.8pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.1pp
62%
Away Win
74%
-12.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
31%
+16.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
69%
-16.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AZ (K) v Ajax (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.50/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/1.25
+150% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -30%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 83%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5

AZ (K) vs Ajax (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ajax (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
25.04.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 AZ (K) AZ (K) HOLK1

AZ (K) 1-2 Ajax (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ (K)
1-2
AWAY Ajax (K)
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
226 Passes 423
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AZ (K) vs Ajax (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) edged past AZ (K) 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AZ (K) had 40% of the ball to Ajax (K)'s 60%, shots finished 10-22.

What was the final score of AZ (K) vs Ajax (K)?

AZ (K) 1-2 Ajax (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ (K) vs Ajax (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split AZ (K) 20%, draw 19%, Ajax (K) 62%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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