Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 Heerenveen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
305 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Heerenveen (K) Heerenveen (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-1
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
254 Passes 321
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Heerenveen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) and Heerenveen (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 47% of the ball to Heerenveen (K)'s 53%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 Heerenveen (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Barendrecht (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 38%, draw 29%, Heerenveen (K) 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Excelsior Barendrecht (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Excelsior Barendrecht (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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