Heerenveen (K) 1-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
15%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
-63% / -63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+36% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen (K)
1-0
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heerenveen (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen (K) squeezed past Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Heerenveen (K) made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heerenveen (K) had 56% of the ball to Excelsior Barendrecht (K)'s 44%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Heerenveen (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Heerenveen (K) 1-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen (K) 36%, draw 30%, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heerenveen (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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