Fortuna Sittard (K) 0-1 AZ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-13.5pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.7pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.00/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/2.00
-62% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +26%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard (K)
0-1
AWAY AZ (K)
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard (K) vs AZ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ (K) squeezed past Fortuna Sittard (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fortuna Sittard (K) at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard (K) had 55% of the ball to AZ (K)'s 45%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard (K) vs AZ (K)?

Fortuna Sittard (K) 0-1 AZ (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard (K) vs AZ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard (K) 56%, draw 26%, AZ (K) 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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