Manchester United U21 0-1 Liverpool U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
3.17
Over Pick
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.32
No
47%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
39%
4-5
31%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+2.0pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
72%
-19.0pp
47%
BTTS No
28%
+19.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool U21 EU Bookmakers 33%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-63% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 9.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Liverpool U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.92 xG 1.69
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
452 Passes 230
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2024 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21 0-3 HT 0-1 Liverpool U21 Liverpool U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United U21
0-1
AWAY Liverpool U21
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
411 Passes 334
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester United U21 vs Liverpool U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool U21 squeezed past Manchester United U21 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester United U21 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manchester United U21 had 54% of the ball to Liverpool U21's 46%, shots finished 21-8.

What was the final score of Manchester United U21 vs Liverpool U21?

Manchester United U21 0-1 Liverpool U21 in the INGPL2 on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United U21 vs Liverpool U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Manchester United U21 51%, draw 18%, Liverpool U21 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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