Sagamihara 0-3 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.25/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.96
-4% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses 10.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2024 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
30.09.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-1 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
29.04.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
06.11.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 3-1 HT 3-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
04.06.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 3-2 HT 2-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
30.10.2021 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
0-3
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
253 Passes 379
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu ran out comfortable winners over Sagamihara 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Giravanz Kitakyushu found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Sagamihara had 42% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 58%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagamihara had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sagamihara and 1.33 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Sagamihara 0-3 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 36%, draw 30%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sagamihara), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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