Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.85/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.31
+46% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sagamihara
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-1 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
29.04.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
06.11.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 3-1 HT 3-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
04.06.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 3-2 HT 2-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
30.10.2021 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP2
03.07.2021 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
0-1
AWAY Sagamihara
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara nicked a narrow win over Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sagamihara found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 55% of the ball to Sagamihara's 45%, shots finished 16-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagamihara led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 1.50 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Sagamihara?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Giravanz Kitakyushu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 37%, draw 26%, Sagamihara 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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