Nara Club 1-2 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
36%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.6pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.20/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.48
-12% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ryukyu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 0-1 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
08.04.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-2 HT 0-2 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
1-2
AWAY Ryukyu
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu edged past Nara Club 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Ryukyu made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nara Club had 46% of the ball to Ryukyu's 54%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nara Club and 0.50 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs Ryukyu?

Nara Club 1-2 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 40%, draw 23%, Ryukyu 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nara Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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