FC Gifu 4-1 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.32/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.16
-4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Gifu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fukushima United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.10.2023 FC Gifu FC Gifu 0-1 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
24.06.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
02.10.2022 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-1 HT 1-1 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
18.06.2022 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
28.08.2021 FC Gifu FC Gifu 0-4 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
06.06.2021 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Gifu
4-1
AWAY Fukushima United
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Gifu vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Gifu cruised past Fukushima United 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; FC Gifu found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Gifu had 50% of the ball to Fukushima United's 50%, shots finished 12-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Gifu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Gifu and 1.17 for Fukushima United.

What was the final score of FC Gifu vs Fukushima United?

FC Gifu 4-1 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Gifu vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Gifu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Gifu 37%, draw 26%, Fukushima United 37%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ BTTS No
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