Albirex Niigata (K) 0-1 JEF United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 6 Oct 2024

Albirex Niigata (K)
0-1 HT 0-0
JEF United (K)
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2024/2025

Albirex Niigata (K) vs JEF United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.7pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.4pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Albirex Niigata (K) v JEF United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.99
-100% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Albirex Niigata (K) vs JEF United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY JEF United (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
20.03.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL

Albirex Niigata (K) 0-1 JEF United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata (K)
0-1
AWAY JEF United (K)
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata (K) vs JEF United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United (K) squeezed past Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; JEF United (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Albirex Niigata (K) had 55% of the ball to JEF United (K)'s 45%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Albirex Niigata (K) and 0.50 for JEF United (K).

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Albirex Niigata (K) 0-1 JEF United (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata (K) 33%, draw 33%, JEF United (K) 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JEF United (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JEF United (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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