Larne FC 0-3 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

Larne FC
0-3 HT 0-1
Dungannon Swifts
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2024/2025

Larne FC vs Dungannon Swifts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.78
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
19.3
X/1
13%
3.41
X/2
5%
13.7
X/X
16%
5.6
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
5%
11.9
2/X
5%
20.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-9.5pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.0pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Larne FC v Dungannon Swifts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.89/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.56
+37% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Larne FC vs Dungannon Swifts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-2 HT 0-2 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
13.10.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
07.08.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 4-4 HT 1-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
14.02.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
18.11.2022 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
08.11.2022 Larne FC Larne FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts ran out comfortable winners over Larne FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Larne FC at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Larne FC and 0.83 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Larne FC 0-3 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 56%, draw 30%, Dungannon Swifts 15%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Larne FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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