Marupe 0-0 Smiltene — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.63
Over 2.5
44%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.5
No
59%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
34%
+21.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
66%
-21.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
62%
-21.1pp
59%
BTTS No
38%
+21.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marupe EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Smiltene EU Bookmakers 23%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.41
+38% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +56%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
382 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marupe
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Smiltene
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
15.06.2024 Smiltene Smiltene 0-1 HT 0-0 Marupe Marupe LET1
11.06.2022 Marupe Marupe 3-3 HT 1-2 Smiltene Smiltene LETK
POST-MATCH Marupe vs Smiltene
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marupe and Smiltene played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Marupe at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marupe had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Marupe and 1.50 for Smiltene.

What was the final score of Marupe vs Smiltene?

Marupe 0-0 Smiltene in the Latvia - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marupe vs Smiltene?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Marupe 53%, draw 21%, Smiltene 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marupe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marupe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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