Smiltene 0-1 Marupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 15 Jun 2024

Smiltene
0-1 HT 0-0
Marupe
📅15/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Smiltene vs Marupe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
30%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Smiltene v Marupe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smiltene EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Marupe EU Bookmakers 49%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-81% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Smiltene vs Marupe Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smiltene
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Marupe
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
11.06.2022 Marupe Marupe 3-3 HT 1-2 Smiltene Smiltene LETK
POST-MATCH Smiltene vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marupe squeezed past Smiltene 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marupe as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Smiltene vs Marupe?

Smiltene 0-1 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smiltene vs Marupe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 24%, draw 28%, Marupe 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marupe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marupe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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