JFK Ventspils 1-1 Riga FC II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
61%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
14%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
61%
Away Win
66%
-5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC II EU Bookmakers 70%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.68/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.38/0.56
-33% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +132% / +94%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Riga FC II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.08.2023 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 0-0 Riga FC II Riga FC II LET1
22.04.2023 Riga FC II Riga FC II 4-0 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JFK Ventspils and Riga FC II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Riga FC II at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Riga FC II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for JFK Ventspils and 2.00 for Riga FC II.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC II?

JFK Ventspils 1-1 Riga FC II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Riga FC II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC II win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 16%, draw 23%, Riga FC II 61%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Riga FC II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Riga FC II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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