Leevon / PPK 4-1 Rezekne / BJSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.63
Over 2.5
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-14.9pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+13.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-13.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Rezekne / BJSS EU Bookmakers 15%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.99/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/3.29
+21% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Leevon / PPK vs Rezekne / BJSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leevon / PPK cruised past Rezekne / BJSS 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leevon / PPK as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Leevon / PPK vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Leevon / PPK 4-1 Rezekne / BJSS in the Latvia - 1st Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leevon / PPK vs Rezekne / BJSS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Leevon / PPK 56%, draw 21%, Rezekne / BJSS 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leevon / PPK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leevon / PPK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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