Ajka 1-1 Kozarmisleny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kozarmisleny EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.19/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.10
-9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Kozarmisleny
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
22.10.2023 Ajka Ajka 0-3 HT 0-2 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny MAC2
05.02.2023 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny 0-1 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
14.08.2022 Ajka Ajka 4-2 HT 2-2 Kozarmisleny Kozarmisleny MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
1-1
AWAY Kozarmisleny
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Kozarmisleny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka and Kozarmisleny shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Ajka had 43% of the ball to Kozarmisleny's 57%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ajka and 1.50 for Kozarmisleny.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Kozarmisleny?

Ajka 1-1 Kozarmisleny in the Hungary - NB II on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Kozarmisleny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ajka 37%, draw 27%, Kozarmisleny 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ajka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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