Egersunds 0-1 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.3pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.7pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.6pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egersunds EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.55/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.30
-3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
346 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Egersunds
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kongsvinger
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
15.04.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 3-3 HT 1-1 Egersunds Egersunds NOR1
POST-MATCH Egersunds vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger squeezed past Egersunds 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Kongsvinger found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Egersunds vs Kongsvinger?

Egersunds 0-1 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egersunds vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated a Egersunds win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 37%, draw 31%, Kongsvinger 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Egersunds) ✗ BTTS Yes
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