Moss 1-1 Asane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

Moss
1-1 HT 1-0
Asane
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Moss vs Asane Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.21
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.58 — our 28% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moss v Asane — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Asane EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -24%
1.38/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/2.01
-29% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Moss vs Asane Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Asane
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.06.2024 Asane Asane 1-4 HT 0-2 Moss Moss NOR1
29.10.2023 Asane Asane 2-1 HT 2-0 Moss Moss NOR1
16.05.2023 Moss Moss 1-0 HT 0-0 Asane Asane NOR1
POST-MATCH Moss vs Asane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss and Asane couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Moss at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Moss had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Moss and 1.00 for Asane.

What was the final score of Moss vs Asane?

Moss 1-1 Asane in the Norway - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Asane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Moss 53%, draw 26%, Asane 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Moss), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moss) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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