Nieciecza 1-2 Znicz Pruszkow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.70/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.45
-10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 2-0 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
27.08.2023 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-0 HT 1-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
12.08.2014 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 2-1 HT 1-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
1-2
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 8
14 Shots on Target 4
15 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nieciecza vs Znicz Pruszkow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Znicz Pruszkow squeezed past Nieciecza 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Nieciecza at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Nieciecza had 67% of the ball to Znicz Pruszkow's 33%, shots finished 24-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Znicz Pruszkow led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nieciecza and 1.33 for Znicz Pruszkow.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Nieciecza 1-2 Znicz Pruszkow in the Poland - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Znicz Pruszkow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 51%, draw 26%, Znicz Pruszkow 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✗ BTTS No
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