Chrobry Glogow 1-1 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

Chrobry Glogow
1-1 HT 1-0
Gornik Leczna
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Chrobry Glogow vs Gornik Leczna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.07
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.81
6+ Goals
11%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 27% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chrobry Glogow v Gornik Leczna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.19/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.72
-10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +54%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Chrobry Glogow vs Gornik Leczna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrobry Glogow
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.02.2024 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-1 HT 0-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
11.08.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 3-1 HT 1-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
27.05.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 1-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
30.10.2022 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-2 HT 0-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
01.04.2021 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 3-0 HT 0-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
30.09.2020 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 1-1 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1

Chrobry Glogow 1-1 Gornik Leczna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chrobry Glogow
1-1
AWAY Gornik Leczna
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chrobry Glogow vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chrobry Glogow and Gornik Leczna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gornik Leczna at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Chrobry Glogow had 49% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 51%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Leczna led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chrobry Glogow and 1.50 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Chrobry Glogow vs Gornik Leczna?

Chrobry Glogow 1-1 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chrobry Glogow vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chrobry Glogow 30%, draw 27%, Gornik Leczna 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gornik Leczna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Leczna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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