FCSB 3-2 Buzau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

FCSB
3-2 HT 1-1
Buzau
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
28%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-12.8pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.6pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Buzau EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.20/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.30
+1% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / -49%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 67%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
16.9 Crosses 14.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
3-2
AWAY Buzau
2.19 xG 0.60
65% Ball Possession 35%
26 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
484 Passes 225
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
44 Box Touches 4
26 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Buzau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB squeezed past Buzau 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FCSB had 65% of the ball to Buzau's 35%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 2.19 to 0.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FCSB's control.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Buzau?

FCSB 3-2 Buzau in the Romania - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Buzau?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FCSB 57%, draw 21%, Buzau 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ROM More Romania - 1st Division
6 Oct 2024
13:30 Hermannstadt vs Sepsi Analysis →
18:15 Botosani vs Rapid Bucarest Analysis →