Hermannstadt 0-4 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.17
6+ Goals
10%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
0.49/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.91
-21% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
Crosses 24.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermannstadt
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sepsi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.34 xG 1.97
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 Passes 382
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-1 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
27.09.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-1 HT 0-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROMK
21.08.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-1 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
25.02.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 2-1 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
02.10.2022 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-2 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
28.02.2021 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-2 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermannstadt
0-4
AWAY Sepsi
0.47 xG 3.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
418 Passes 292
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hermannstadt vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepsi swept aside Hermannstadt 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Sepsi made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hermannstadt had 57% of the ball to Sepsi's 43%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.47 to 3.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepsi led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hermannstadt and 1.50 for Sepsi.

What was the final score of Hermannstadt vs Sepsi?

Hermannstadt 0-4 Sepsi in the Romania - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermannstadt vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hermannstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hermannstadt 35%, draw 31%, Sepsi 34%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hermannstadt) ✗ Under 2.5
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