Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
12.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.37 — our 26% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce EU Bookmakers 29%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.65/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.31
-12% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
21.3 Crosses 16.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.17 xG 1.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
341 Passes 290
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2024 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 2-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
13.04.2024 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 0-1 HT 0-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
11.11.2023 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 3-1 HT 2-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
11.08.2023 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 0-3 HT 0-2 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
01.10.2022 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 3-1 HT 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce SLVK
15.07.2022 Zemplin Michalovce Zemplin Michalovce 2-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica
1-0
AWAY Zemplin Michalovce
0.33 xG 0.93
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
205 Passes 420
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 42
9 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Zemplin Michalovce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Banska Bystrica squeezed past Zemplin Michalovce 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dukla Banska Bystrica as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dukla Banska Bystrica had 38% of the ball to Zemplin Michalovce's 62%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.33 to 0.93 — the balance of chances actually favoured Zemplin Michalovce.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dukla Banska Bystrica and 1.17 for Zemplin Michalovce.

What was the final score of Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-0 Zemplin Michalovce in the Slovakia Super League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Zemplin Michalovce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dukla Banska Bystrica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dukla Banska Bystrica 45%, draw 26%, Zemplin Michalovce 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dukla Banska Bystrica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dukla Banska Bystrica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVK More Slovakia Super League
6 Oct 2024
19:00 Dunajska Streda vs Zilina Analysis →