Al Faisaly 2-2 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.80/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.45
+27% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faisaly
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Najma
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.05.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
01.01.2024 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Faisaly
2-2
AWAY Al Najma
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Faisaly and Al Najma shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Faisaly had 50% of the ball to Al Najma's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Faisaly and 1.00 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Al Najma?

Al Faisaly 2-2 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 38%, draw 29%, Al Najma 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Faisaly), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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