Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-3 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

Nong Bua Pitchaya
2-3 HT 1-0
Bangkok United
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Bangkok United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
+0.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
57%
Away Win
55%
+1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nong Bua Pitchaya v Bangkok United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 60%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
0.82/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.70
-40% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +118%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
12.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
11.1 Crosses 19.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Bangkok United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Bangkok United
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.57 xG 0.99
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
180 Passes 353
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.01.2023 Bangkok United Bangkok United 3-1 HT 1-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY
20.08.2022 Nong Bua Pitchaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
29.01.2022 Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
31.10.2021 Bangkok United Bangkok United 1-1 HT 0-0 Nong Bua Pitchaya TAY

Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-3 Bangkok United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nong Bua Pitchaya
2-3
AWAY Bangkok United
1.18 xG 2.22
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
182 Passes 453
72% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangkok United edged past Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bangkok United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nong Bua Pitchaya had 33% of the ball to Bangkok United's 67%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.18 to 2.22.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bangkok United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Nong Bua Pitchaya and 1.25 for Bangkok United.

What was the final score of Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Bangkok United?

Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-3 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nong Bua Pitchaya 22%, draw 22%, Bangkok United 57%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangkok United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✓ Over 2.5
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