Thai Port FC 2-0 Nakhon Pathom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.3pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.1pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 14%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.66/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.17
+2% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +65%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
405 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
22.5 Crosses 15.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thai Port FC
2-0
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
1.26 xG 0.53
72% Ball Possession 28%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
537 Passes 155
89% Pass Accuracy 67%
37 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Thai Port FC vs Nakhon Pathom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thai Port FC got the better of Nakhon Pathom 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thai Port FC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Thai Port FC had 72% of the ball to Nakhon Pathom's 28%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.26 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Thai Port FC vs Nakhon Pathom?

Thai Port FC 2-0 Nakhon Pathom in the Thailand - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thai Port FC vs Nakhon Pathom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Thai Port FC 61%, draw 21%, Nakhon Pathom 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thai Port FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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