Northern Colorado 4-0 Tormenta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northern Colorado EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Tormenta EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
2.05/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.21
+26% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.6 Crosses 13.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northern Colorado
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Tormenta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.12 xG 1.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 340
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Tormenta Tormenta 1-1 HT 0-0 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
11.09.2023 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 2-1 HT 0-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
24.08.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 2-2 HT 2-1 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
18.06.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 0-0 HT 1-0 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
02.04.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 0-3 HT 0-1 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
11.09.2022 Tormenta Tormenta 3-1 HT 2-1 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northern Colorado
4-0
AWAY Tormenta
3.00 xG 1.13
41% Ball Possession 59%
21 Total Shots 19
9 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 9
267 Passes 398
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Northern Colorado vs Tormenta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northern Colorado swept aside Tormenta 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Northern Colorado as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Northern Colorado had 41% of the ball to Tormenta's 59%, shots finished 21-19, expected goals 3.00 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northern Colorado had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Northern Colorado and 1.17 for Tormenta.

What was the final score of Northern Colorado vs Tormenta?

Northern Colorado 4-0 Tormenta in the USA - USL League 1 on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northern Colorado vs Tormenta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northern Colorado win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Northern Colorado 50%, draw 22%, Tormenta 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northern Colorado), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Northern Colorado) ✓ Over 2.5
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