Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-1 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
40%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
24%
+10.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
40%
Away Win
52%
-12.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 56%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+44% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
2W-0D-2L
AWAY One Knoxville
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.97 xG 2.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 Passes 388
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.08.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 4-1 HT 3-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
23.07.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-3 HT 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
17.05.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-0 HT 2-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
09.04.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
1-1
AWAY One Knoxville
1.55 xG 1.72
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
202 Passes 485
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 41
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves and One Knoxville shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 32% of the ball to One Knoxville's 68%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.55 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 2.25 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs One Knoxville?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-1 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated an One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 34%, draw 27%, One Knoxville 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (One Knoxville), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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