One Knoxville 4-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
34%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
22%
+11.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 25%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.60/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.79
-30% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
22.3 Crosses 19.0
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.68 xG 1.08
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 Passes 211
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 3
23.07.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-3 HT 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
17.05.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-0 HT 2-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
09.04.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
4-1
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
3.96 xG 0.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
28 Total Shots 17
12 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
410 Passes 361
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
43 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville swept aside Chattanooga Red Wolves 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, One Knoxville had 52% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 48%, shots finished 28-17, expected goals 3.96 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chattanooga Red Wolves led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for One Knoxville and 1.67 for Chattanooga Red Wolves.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

One Knoxville 4-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 44%, draw 23%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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