Greenville Triumph 1-1 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.65/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.57
-8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.6 Crosses 15.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenville Triumph
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 0.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
288 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
24.09.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 1-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
14.05.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-2 HT 2-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
26.03.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-1 HT 0-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
16.10.2022 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-1 HT 1-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
14.08.2022 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-0 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenville Triumph
1-1
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.03 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
402 Passes 286
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph and Richmond Kickers shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Greenville Triumph at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Greenville Triumph had 56% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 44%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.03 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Greenville Triumph and 0.83 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers?

Greenville Triumph 1-1 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 47%, draw 24%, Richmond Kickers 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greenville Triumph), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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