Fuerte San Francisco 1-3 Cacahuatique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 6 Oct 2025

📅06/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
48%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
31%
-7.0pp
48%
Away Win
35%
+13.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 38%
-21% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.95/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.63
-18% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +78%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Cacahuatique
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.08.2025 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 0-2 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
27.03.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
30.01.2025 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 1-1 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
28.10.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
25.08.2024 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 2-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacahuatique saw off Fuerte San Francisco 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cacahuatique as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cacahuatique led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.00 for Cacahuatique.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique?

Fuerte San Francisco 1-3 Cacahuatique in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 06/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Cacahuatique?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cacahuatique win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 28%, draw 24%, Cacahuatique 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacahuatique), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cacahuatique) ✓ BTTS Yes
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