Union Omaha 2-1 Naples — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 6 Oct 2025

📅06/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Naples EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.79/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.29
+16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.7 Crosses 16.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naples
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.27 xG 1.10
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
424 Passes 132
83% Pass Accuracy 60%
16 Box Touches 8
38 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2025 Naples 3-1 HT 2-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
2-1
AWAY Naples
1.09 xG 3.13
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 10
369 Passes 257
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 33
26 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Naples
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha edged past Naples 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Union Omaha had 57% of the ball to Naples's 43%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.09 to 3.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Naples.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Naples?

Union Omaha 2-1 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 06/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Naples?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 52%, draw 24%, Naples 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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