Hırvatistan 1-2 İspanya — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — UEFA Nations League, 6 Oct 2026

📅06/10/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 15:35
Match Result
Home
12%
5.57
Draw
16%
4.36
AwayVIEW
72%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.2
Over
64%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
17%
5.02
2-3
42%
1.97
4-5
30%
2.7
6+
11%
6.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
14.4
1/2
3%
20.7
1/X
4%
23.4
X/1
5%
17.55
X/2
21%
4.1
X/X
9%
8.46
2/1
1%
35.2
2/2
48%
1.76
2/X
3%
20.6
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Hırvatistan The Market 18%
Signal
AWAY İspanya The Market 70%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
0.89 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.20
2.68 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.79
Average Attack Strength Average
Bad Defense Strength Weak
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 533 · 86%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31
12 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hırvatistan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY İspanya
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.66 xG 2.16
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
373 Passes 643
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2026 İspanya İspanya 4-1 HT 2-1 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan AVUL
15.06.2024 İspanya İspanya 3-0 HT 3-0 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan AVR
18.06.2023 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan 0-0 HT 0-0 İspanya İspanya AVUL
28.06.2021 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan 3-3 HT 1-1 İspanya İspanya AVR
15.11.2018 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan 3-2 HT 0-0 İspanya İspanya AVUL
11.09.2018 İspanya İspanya 6-0 HT 3-0 Hırvatistan Hırvatistan AVUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hırvatistan
1 - 2
AWAY İspanya
1.17 xG 1.08
28% Ball Possession 72%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
234 Passes 697
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Hırvatistan vs İspanya
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

İspanya found just enough to beat Hırvatistan 2-1 on their travels. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İspanya as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Hırvatistan had 28% of the ball to İspanya's 72%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.17 to 1.08.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İspanya led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hırvatistan and 3.00 for İspanya.

Hırvatistan vs İspanya Result & Final Score

Hırvatistan 1 - 2 İspanya in the UEFA Nations League on 06/10/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hırvatistan vs İspanya Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Hırvatistan 12%, draw 16%, İspanya 72%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İspanya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUL More UEFA Nations League
6 Oct 2026
17:00 Kazakistan vs Faroe Adaları Analysis →
21:45 Arnavutluk vs San Marino Analysis →
21:45 İsviçre vs Kuzey Makedonya Analysis →
21:45 İngiltere vs Çekya Analysis →
21:45 Lüksemburg vs Bulgaristan Analysis →
21:45 Moldova vs Slovakya Analysis →