Boreham Wood 3-1 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 26%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +21%
1.01/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.52
-43% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boreham Wood
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Farnborough
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
09.02.2015 Farnborough Farnborough 0-3 HT 0-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İCON
17.03.2014 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-1 HT 0-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boreham Wood
3-1
AWAY Farnborough
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood got the better of Farnborough 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Boreham Wood had 40% of the ball to Farnborough's 60%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Boreham Wood had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Boreham Wood and 0.50 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Farnborough?

Boreham Wood 3-1 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 43%, draw 28%, Farnborough 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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