Curzon Ashton 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +20%
1.19/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.81
-8% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +53%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Curzon Ashton
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.01.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
16.08.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 HT 0-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
26.03.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 5-0 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
14.12.2021 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-1 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
28.11.2020 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curzon Ashton
0-1
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Curzon Ashton vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers edged past Curzon Ashton 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kidderminster Harriers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Curzon Ashton had 52% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 48%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Curzon Ashton and 1.80 for Kidderminster Harriers.

What was the final score of Curzon Ashton vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Curzon Ashton 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - Conference on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curzon Ashton vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Curzon Ashton 31%, draw 26%, Kidderminster Harriers 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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6 Nov 2024
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