Independiente 3-0 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.09
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.36
Over 2.5
25%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.53
No
68%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
1.81
2-3 Goals
34%
1.92
4-5 Goals
11%
8.01
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.17
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.1
X/1
15%
4.15
X/2
15%
7.01
X/X
23%
3.04
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
8%
6.54
2/X
6%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-9.4pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
75%
Under 2.5
70%
+5.0pp
25%
Over 2.5
30%
-5.0pp
32%
BTTS Yes
36%
-3.8pp
68%
BTTS No
64%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.30/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.29
-13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.1 Crosses 19.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.71 xG 0.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 301
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.06.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
20.09.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
26.10.2021 Independiente Independiente 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
25.04.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
31.10.2019 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-2 HT 0-2 Independiente Independiente ARJ
10.02.2019 Independiente Independiente 2-1 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
3-0
AWAY Union Santa Fe
2.40 xG 0.14
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 1
8 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
446 Passes 253
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Independiente vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente cruised past Union Santa Fe 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 36% / 29% — and on the day Independiente made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (68%) landed while under 2.5 goals (75%) missed.

On the day, Independiente had 60% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 40%, shots finished 13-1, expected goals 2.40 to 0.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente and 1.00 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Independiente vs Union Santa Fe?

Independiente 3-0 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Independiente 34%, draw 36%, Union Santa Fe 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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