San Lorenzo 1-1 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.33
Over 2.5
31%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.51
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
15%
8.29
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.55
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.85
X/1
12%
5.27
X/2
13%
5.08
X/X
18%
2.96
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.34
2/X
8%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.8pp
34%
Draw
33%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.2pp
69%
Under 2.5
72%
-2.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
28%
+2.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.6pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.04/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.93
-18% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
21.7 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Estudiantes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.08 xG 0.56
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
274 Passes 359
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
13.02.2024 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
21.09.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
28.06.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 4-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes CSA
22.06.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
05.04.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-1 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo CSA
07.08.2022 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
1-1
AWAY Estudiantes
0.42 xG 1.08
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 400
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo and Estudiantes shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 43% of the ball to Estudiantes's 57%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.42 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Lorenzo and 0.50 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes?

San Lorenzo 1-1 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 33%, draw 34%, Estudiantes 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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